Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.018358 0.023270 0.029862 0.039697 0.054654 0.077815 0.119439
2024-12-22 0.012964 0.018137 0.026214 0.040839 0.069720 0.133808 0.335105
2024-12-29 0.010258 0.015215 0.023710 0.041228 0.083332 0.212086 1.010004
2025-01-05 0.008300 0.012758 0.020859 0.039062 0.089469 0.290824 3.128154
2025-01-12 0.007075 0.011198 0.019063 0.038111 0.098288 0.417952 20.890950
2025-01-19 0.006470 0.010584 0.018889 0.040898 0.123383 0.804790 NaN
2025-01-26 0.006112 0.010340 0.019390 0.045846 0.167457 2.178625 NaN
2025-02-02 0.005795 0.010104 0.019826 0.051039 0.229112 9.286423 NaN
2025-02-09 0.005306 0.009413 0.018977 0.051500 0.266025 40.515812 NaN
2025-02-16 0.004901 0.008833 0.018258 0.052094 0.310672 1270.165125 NaN
2025-02-23 0.004536 0.008285 0.017488 0.052118 0.355351 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.004107 0.007535 0.016024 0.048498 0.347609 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.003770 0.007003 0.015197 0.048026 0.398441 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.003524 0.006650 0.014814 0.049584 0.508943 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003284 0.006276 0.014276 0.050096 0.623561 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003005 0.005769 0.013226 0.047268 0.637141 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.002793 0.005400 0.012528 0.046031 0.704414 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002696 0.005298 0.012642 0.049664 1.068853 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002646 0.005304 0.013106 0.056180 2.078475 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002592 0.005292 0.013511 0.063104 4.695595 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002464 0.005071 0.013132 0.063724 7.036277 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002350 0.004873 0.012797 0.064522 11.440260 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002239 0.004671 0.012405 0.064554 18.413175 NaN NaN